Allgemein

Futures Contract Hedging Formula

The optimal contracts are indicated by: $$N^0={hat{h}}^0frac{V_A}{V_F}=1.00timesfrac{100,000}{10,000}=$10 The airline has also estimated that it will buy 2 million gallons of kerosene in a month. Therefore, the airline wants to cover this position. Under the terms of the exchange agreement, there is a futures contract for 50,000 gallons of heating oil. The underlying risk is the risk that the value of a futures contract does not move in a normal and stable correlation with the price of the underlying asset. For example, if the current spot price of gold is $1,500 and the six-month futures price of gold is $1,550, the base is $50. The base risk in this case is the risk that the price of gold will fluctuate by more than $50 in six months by the duration of the contract. The exchange rate increases, and therefore the hedging improves (deteriorates) the price by 0.02 USD per GBP (= 1.32-1.30). Note, however, that the base is $0.03 (= 1.35-1.32) per GBP. The base amount implies that the company can pay the futures contract at $1.32 per GBP and buy the underlying at $1.35 per GBP.

Since there is no baseline risk, the company pays the future price of $1.30. However, base risk increases the price of futures contracts to $1.33. For example, the 14-day average range is 15 for ES and 0.32 for silver futures (SI). When an investor uses futures as part of their hedging strategy, their goal is to reduce the likelihood of incurring a loss due to an adverse change in the market value of the underlying asset, usually a security or other financial instrument. If the security or financial instrument is generally exposed to high volatility, an investor is more likely to buy a futures contract. The calculation of profit and loss on a trade is done by multiplying the dollar value of a one tick movement by the number of ticks that the futures contract has moved since the contract was purchased. This calculation gives you a profit or loss per contact, and then you need to multiply that number by the number of contracts you own to get the total profit or loss on your position. Like futures, option contracts are derivative financial instruments. In the case of options contracts – also known as options only – the buyer has the option of buying or selling the underlying asset (depending on the type of contract he holds). Options are different from futures because the holder of an option is not required to buy or sell the asset if he chooses not to do so, while the holder of a futures contract is required to buy or sell the underlying asset when held for settlement. When you buy a futures contract as an investor, you enter into a contractual agreement to buy the underlying security. Alternatively, when you sell a futures contract, you are effectively entering into an agreement to sell the underlying asset to another party.

For example, Company X may accept a legal contract requiring it to sell 20,000 ounces of silver at a time six months into the future, when the current silver market price is $12 per ounce and the forward price is $11 per ounce. When Company X closes its forward position in six months, it will be able to sell silver worth $20,000 at a price of $11 per ounce. (N^0) = Optimal number of futures contracts required for hedging. In order to cover the risk of loss, the company takes a short position. Let`s say every negotiated futures contract involves buying or selling 1,000 barrels of oil. Let`s also assume that Oelig receives the oil during the contract delivery time. As defined in the capital asset valuation model, beta is a measure of a portfolio`s systematic risk. When a trader uses index futures to hedge a position in an equity portfolio, they effectively reduce systematic risk. Therefore, hedging is an attempt to reduce the beta of a portfolio. Suppose we want to use S&P 500 futures to hedge a well-diversified portfolio with a beta (beta). Assuming that the standard deviation of the daily return of the asset to be hedged is equal to (beta) multiplied by the standard deviation of the return by the forward price and that the correlation between the daily return of the asset and the forward price is about 1.0, then futures contracts are given to hedge a position by: there are cases where it may be impossible to: Find futures on a specific underlying asset.

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